“Friday the Thirteenth will not be lucky for” Manoj Night Shyamalan, predicts Steve Mason at Fantasy Moguls. Saying that “advance word [is] absolutely God-awful” and the tracking isn’t much better, Mase predicts the R-rated thriller “The Happening” will open between $20 million and $25 million, which is still better than Shyamalan’s much-ridiculed “Lady in the Water.” Fox, which generally eschews ego-stoking full-age ads in the New York Times for genre flicks, has one today quoting one Dan Storey of MTV calling the flick “A welcome return to form for Shyamalan…will have you hanging off the edge of your seat.” And they’re giving the self-styled Alfred Hitchcock successor a special airing Monday night on FX. Fox can afford to be generous: India’s UTV Motion Picures and Spyglass Entertainment are picking up most of the production tab for “The Happening,” which Mase rates as no theat at all to “The Incredible Hulk” next week (not to mention the second weekend of “Kung Fu Panda” and possibly “You Don’t Mess With the Zohan.”) Mase predicts that based on early tracking, the Ed Norton reboot will open somewhere between $60 and $65 million. So did its Ang Lee directed precessor, which plummeted in its second weekend, four years ago. Meanwhile “Kung Fu Panda” dominates the charts with $60 million this weekend, a new record for a DreamWorks Animation non-sequel. Mase predicts that the one-two-three punch of “Iron Man,” “Indiana Jones” and “Panda” will allow Paramount to reach the $1 billion mark for the year on June 20 — which just happens to be opening day for the studio’s remaining summer release, “The Love Guru” with Mike Myers, which I hear is no great shakes. Second place for this weekend went to “You Don’t Mess With the Zohan,” whose $40 million take tied with “Click” for the fourth-best Adam Sandler opening of all time. “Indiana Jones” was No. 3 with $22.8 million. “Sex in the City”’ did $21.3 million, a 62 per cent dip from its opening weekend. It will still cross the $100 million mark on Monday. Variety has an interesting piece on Hollywood’s historic resistance to chick flicks. Diane English, who spent 13 years peddling her remake of “The Women” before it was finally set up at the imminently RIP Picturehouse, says that every time she cited a chick flick that broke through as a hit, male suits dismissed it as a fluke.
Box Office: First Predictions for ‘The Happening’ Are Less Than Stellar
