UFC Fight Night will head over to Louisville this weekend after a profitable night at the office last weekend.
For UFC 302, we profited 5.55 units, going 7-3 and a solid 55.50 percent Return on Investment.
We hope the good times keep rolling as Jared Cannonier faces Nassourdine Imavov in the UFC Louisville main event.
It’s a sneaky, fun card this weekend that will get the primetime treatment on ESPN the network from start at 5 p.m. ET, to finish around midnight ET.
UFC Fight Night Louisville prediction
Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov
Forty-year-old Jared Cannonier faces Nassourdine Imavov in the main event at 185lbs.
Cannonier has fought some of the divisions best, including Israel Adesanya, Sean Strickland, Derek Brunson, and many more.
Now, he fights Imavov, who is 28 and in his prime, as an aging veteran.
Maybe a few years ago, Cannonier would’ve been favored in this bout.
But for Cannonier, this betting line does not factor in the fact that he is certainly getting worse while Imavov is getting better.
Imavov won’t have a grappling advantage to use, thanks to Cannonier’s sterling defensive grappling, but he will certainly have the volume benefits.
This one is going the full 25 minutes, and Imavov, by decision, is the official bet.
PICK: Fight goes to decision (-160), Imavov by decision (245, BetMGM)
Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby
It’s been four years since Dominick Reyes was robbed of a decision against light heavyweight Jon Jones.
Now, he finds himself as a considerable underdog at nearly 2:1 odds against a fighter who has lost three of his last four.
Reyes has next to no chin, this much we know at this point in his career he’s dropped four straight including three by KO.
But it’s really about the number here at +195; Reyes is a fine wager with a potentially sneaky grappling upside, as Jacoby isn’t too difficult to take down.
PICK: Reyes ML (+195, DraftKings)
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UFC Fight Night full-card picks
- Jared Cannonier (+100) vs. Nassourdine Imavov: Imavov by decision (+245, BetMGM)
- Dominick Reyes (+195) vs. Dustin Jacoby: Reyes ML +195, DraftKings)
- Raul Rosas Jr. (-225) vs. Ricky Turcios: Rosas Jr. by submission (+220, Bet365)
- Brunno Ferreira (-278) vs. Dustin Stoltzfus: Fight goes to decision (+330, ESPN BET)
- Julian Marquez (-142) vs. Zachary Reese: Fight goes to decision (+430, FanDuel)
- Miguel Baeza (-192) vs. Punahele Soriano: Soriano by KO/TKO (+300, FanDuel)
- Thiago Moises (+114) vs. Ludovit Klein: Klein ML (-135, BetMGM)
- Charles Radtke (+195) vs. Carlos Prates: Radtke ML
- Andrea Lee (-162) vs. Montana de la Rosa: Lee by decision (+128, BetRivers)
- Brad Katona (-675) vs. Jesse Butler: Pass
- John Castaneda (+100) vs. Daniel Marcos: Castaneda ML (+100, Fanatics)
- Uduarda Moura (-198) vs. Denise Gomes: Pass
- Cody Stamann (+225) vs. Taylor Lapilus: Stamann ML (+225, Caesars)
- Rayanne dos Santos (-340) vs. Puja Tomas: Pass